The Official 2019 Oscar Discussion/Contest Thread

[Heather19]

Here are my picks for tomorrow night.

BEST PICTURE
Roma

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Glenn Close - The Wife

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Mahershala Ali - Green Book

DIRECTOR
Alfonso Cuarón - Roma

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Roma

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)
Black Sheep

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Free Solo

ORIGINAL SONG
Shallow - A Star Is Born

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BlacKkKlansman

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Favourite

PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Favourite

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Roma

COSTUME DESIGN
The Favourite

SOUND EDITING
First Man

SOUND MIXING
Bohemian Rhapsody

ANIMATED SHORT FILM
Bao

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
Marguerite

ORIGINAL SCORE
If Beale Street Could Talk

VISUAL EFFECTS
Avengers: Infinity War

FILM EDITING
Vice

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Vice

Tiebreaker: Roma 4

[Still Servant]

My picks are in! I have to work tomorrow and will be cutting it close for showtime, so I'm locking them in now. Good luck to everyone.

BEST PICTURE

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Christian Bale - Vice
Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe - At Eternity's Gate
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen - Green Book

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Yalitza Aparicio - Roma
Glenn Close - The Wife
Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born
Olivia Colman - The Favourite
Melissa McCarthy - Can You Ever Forgive Me?


ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Amy Adams - Vice
Marina de Tavira - Roma
Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone - The Favourite
Rachel Weisz The Favourite

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Mahershala Ali - Green Book
Adam Driver - BlackKKlansman
Sam Elliott - A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant - Can You Ever Forgive Me
Sam Rockwell - Vice

DIRECTOR

Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman
Pawel Pawlikowski - Cold War
Yorgos Lanthimos - The Favourite
Alfonso Cuarón - Roma
Adam McKay - Vice

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Capernaum
Cold War
Never Look Away
Roma
Shoplifters

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)

Black Sheep
End Game
Lifeboat
A Night at the Garden
Period. End of Sentence.

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Free Solo
Hale County This Morning, This Evening
Minding the Gap
Of Fathers and Sons
RBG

ORIGINAL SONG

All The Stars - Black Panther
I'll Fight - RBG
Shallow - A Star Is Born
The Place Where Lost Things Go - Mary Poppins Returns
When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings - "The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star Is Born

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

First Reformed
Green Book
Roma
The Favourite
Vice

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Cold War
The Favourite
Never Look Away
Roma
A Star Is Born

COSTUME DESIGN

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots

SOUND EDITING

A Quiet Place
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma

SOUND MIXING

Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma
A Star Is Born

ANIMATED SHORT FILM

Animal Behaviour
Bao
Late Afternoon
One Small Step
Weekends

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

Detainment
Fauve
Marguerite
Mother
Skin

ORIGINAL SCORE

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
Isle of Dogs
Mary Poppins Returns

VISUAL EFFECTS

Avengers: Infinity War
Christopher Robin
First Man
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story

FILM EDITING

BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
Green Book
The Favourite
Vice

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Border
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice

Roma - 3

[Lurker]

BEST PICTURE
Roma

DIRECTOR
Alfonso Cuarón - Roma

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Glenn Close - The Wife

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Mahershala Ali - Green Book

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Cold War

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Free Solo

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Roma

COSTUME DESIGN
The Favourite

ORIGINAL SCORE
Black Panther

ORIGINAL SONG
Shallow - A Star Is Born

SOUND EDITING
First Man

SOUND MIXING
Bohemian Rhapsody

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)
Black Sheep

PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Favourite

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Favourite

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BlacKkKlansman

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

ANIMATED SHORT FILM
Bao

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
Skin

FILM EDITING
Bohemian Rhapsody

VISUAL EFFECTS
Avengers: Infinity War

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Vice

Tiebreaker: Roma 3 Bohemian Rhapsody 3 The Favorite 3

[Stockerlone]

BEST PICTURE

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Christian Bale - Vice
Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe - At Eternity's Gate
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen - Green Book

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Yalitza Aparicio - Roma
Glenn Close - The Wife
Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born
Olivia Colman - The Favourite
Melissa McCarthy - Can You Ever Forgive Me?


ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Amy Adams - Vice
Marina de Tavira - Roma
Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone - The Favourite
Rachel Weisz The Favourite

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Mahershala Ali - Green Book
Adam Driver - BlackKKlansman
Sam Elliott - A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant - Can You Ever Forgive Me
Sam Rockwell - Vice

DIRECTOR

Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman
Pawel Pawlikowski - Cold War
Yorgos Lanthimos - The Favourite
Alfonso Cuarón - Roma
Adam McKay - Vice

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Capernaum
Cold War
Never Look Away
Roma
Shoplifters

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)

Black Sheep
End Game
Lifeboat
A Night at the Garden
Period. End of Sentence.

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Free Solo
Hale County This Morning, This Evening
Minding the Gap
Of Fathers and Sons
RBG

ORIGINAL SONG

All The Stars - Black Panther
I'll Fight - RBG
Shallow - A Star Is Born
The Place Where Lost Things Go - Mary Poppins Returns
When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings - "The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star Is Born

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

First Reformed
Green Book
Roma
The Favourite
Vice



PRODUCTION DESIGN

Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Cold War
The Favourite
Never Look Away
Roma
A Star Is Born

COSTUME DESIGN

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots

SOUND EDITING

A Quiet Place
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma

SOUND MIXING

Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma
A Star Is Born

ANIMATED SHORT FILM

Animal Behaviour
Bao
Late Afternoon
One Small Step
Weekends

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

Detainment
Fauve
Marguerite
Mother
Skin

ORIGINAL SCORE

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
Isle of Dogs
Mary Poppins Returns

VISUAL EFFECTS

Avengers: Infinity War
Christopher Robin
First Man
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story

FILM EDITING

BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
Green Book
The Favourite
Vice

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Border
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice

Tiebreaker Roma 4

[Ricky]

Here's my picks. Went to the Best Picture Showcase yesterday, so now I am better informed. I think Roma for BP is the best bet, but I have a feeling we might get a surprise there. Good luck, everyone!

BEST PICTURE

Roma

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Glenn Close - The Wife

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Mahershala Ali - Green Book

DIRECTOR

Alfonso Cuarón - Roma

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Roma

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)

Lifeboat

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Free Solo

ORIGINAL SONG

Shallow - A Star Is Born

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

If Beale Street Could Talk

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

The Favourite

PRODUCTION DESIGN

The Favourite

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Roma

COSTUME DESIGN

Black Panther

SOUND EDITING

A Quiet Place

SOUND MIXING

Black Panther

ANIMATED SHORT FILM

Bao

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

Marguerite

ORIGINAL SCORE

Mary Poppins Returns

VISUAL EFFECTS

Avengers: Infinity War

FILM EDITING

BlacKkKlansman

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Vice

Tie-breaker: Roma - 4

[Mattrick]

I'd use the Forms entry, but I need to enter this way so I can copy into several other pools easier lol


BEST PICTURE

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Christian Bale - Vice
Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe - At Eternity's Gate
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen - Green Book

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Yalitza Aparicio - Roma
Glenn Close - The Wife
Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born
Olivia Colman - The Favourite
Melissa McCarthy - Can You Ever Forgive Me?


ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Amy Adams - Vice
Marina de Tavira - Roma
Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone - The Favourite
Rachel Weisz The Favourite

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Mahershala Ali - Green Book
Adam Driver - BlackKKlansman
Sam Elliott - A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant - Can You Ever Forgive Me
Sam Rockwell - Vice

DIRECTOR

Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman
Pawel Pawlikowski - Cold War
Yorgos Lanthimos - The Favourite
Alfonso Cuarón - Roma
Adam McKay - Vice

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Capernaum
Cold War
Never Look Away
Roma
Shoplifters

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)

Black Sheep
End Game
Lifeboat
A Night at the Garden
Period. End of Sentence.

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Free Solo
Hale County This Morning, This Evening
Minding the Gap
Of Fathers and Sons
RBG

ORIGINAL SONG

All The Stars - Black Panther
I'll Fight - RBG
Shallow - A Star Is Born
The Place Where Lost Things Go - Mary Poppins Returns
When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings - "The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star Is Born

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

First Reformed
Green Book
Roma
The Favourite
Vice


PRODUCTION DESIGN

Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Cold War
The Favourite
Never Look Away
Roma
A Star Is Born

COSTUME DESIGN

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots

SOUND EDITING

A Quiet Place
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma

SOUND MIXING

Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma
A Star Is Born

ANIMATED SHORT FILM

Animal Behaviour
Bao
Late Afternoon
One Small Step
Weekends

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

Detainment
Fauve
Marguerite
Mother
Skin

ORIGINAL SCORE

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
Isle of Dogs
Mary Poppins Returns

VISUAL EFFECTS

Avengers: Infinity War
Christopher Robin
First Man
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story

FILM EDITING

BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
Green Book
The Favourite
Vice

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Border
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice

Tiebreaker: Roma with 4 Oscars

[Mattrick]

I think Black Panther is going to win 1 Oscar...but it's biggest competition in both is The Favourite. Costume Design or Production design? I just changed them around on my ballot here...

EDIT - Mike, for whatever reason, when I click edit on the my predictions, I just get a blank post. I want to exchange Black Panther for Costume Design, and The Favourite for Production Design.

[T-Dogz_AK47]

Here are my picks for tonight's Oscars....

BEST PICTURE

BlacKkKlansman


ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody


ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Glenn Close - The Wife


ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk


ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Mahershala Ali - Green Book


DIRECTOR

Alfonso Cuarón - Roma


FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Roma


DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)

Period. End of Sentence


DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Free Solo


ORIGINAL SONG

Shallow - A Star Is Born


ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse


ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

BlacKkKlansman


ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

The Favourite


PRODUCTION DESIGN

The Favourite


CINEMATOGRAPHY

Roma


COSTUME DESIGN

Black Panther


SOUND EDITING

First Man


SOUND MIXING

Bohemian Rhapsody


ANIMATED SHORT FILM

Bao


LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

Marguerite


ORIGINAL SCORE

If Beale Street Could Talk


VISUAL EFFECTS

Avengers: Infinity War


FILM EDITING

Vice

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Vice


Tie Breaker: Roma with 3 Oscars

[Garrell]

Best Picture
Green Book

Best Director
Alfonso Cuarón - Roma

Best Actor
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Actress
Glenn Close - The Wife

Best Supporting Actor *
Mahershala Ali - Green Book

Best Supporting Actress
Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Cinematography
Roma

Best Documentary Feature
Minding the Gap

Best Foreign Language film
Roma

Best Costume Design
Mary Poppins Returns

Best Original Score
Mary Poppins Returns

Best Original Song
Shallow - A Star Is Born

Best Sound Editing *
A Quiet Place

Best Sound Mixing
Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Documentary Short *
Black Sheep

Best Production Design
Roma

Best Original Screenplay
Green Book

Best Adapted Screenplay
A Star Is Born

Best Animated Feature
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Best Animated Short
One Small Step

Best Live Action Short
Skin

Best Film editing
Green Book

Best Visual Effects *
Avengers: Infinity War

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Mary Queen of Scots

Tiebreaker
Green Book 4

[Still Servant]

Matt, I will use your picks from here as official.

I'm still en route. I'm hoping to be home by showtime.

[mae]

Gosh, Regina King’s speech is making me cry.

[Randall Flagg]

Throwing out a theory here. Roma will win best picture and director, but NOT best foreign language film. It sounds counter-intuitive, but voters for Foreign Language film have to actually attend special screenings at theaters, or prove they watched the films in a theater. The front-runners who received a DVD of Roma watched bits and pieces, then voted for what is the film de jour.

I could be wrong, but that is my logic for my pick.

[Still Servant]

Throwing out a theory here. Roma will win best picture and director, but NOT best foreign language film. It sounds counter-intuitive, but voters for Foreign Language film have to actually attend special screenings at theaters, or prove they watched the films in a theater. The front-runners who received a DVD of Roma watched bits and pieces, then voted for what is the film de jour.

I could be wrong, but that is my logic for my pick.

You might be 100% correct on that one. I went back and forth thinking the same thing.

[Randall Flagg]

Having a rough night so far.

[Garrell]

4 of 8 so far

[mae]

Ugh completely missing both sound categories.

[mae]

Always annoying when the animated feature introduction has to reference children. Animated films are not always made for children!

[mae]

Had a feeling First Man would get visual effects but still went with Infinity War because of Thanos

[mae]

Beale Street robbed of the Oscar, such a beautiful score...

[mae]

Olivia Coleman's speech was awesome. Thanking Lady Gaga was priceless!

[mae]

Green Book, ouch...

[Garrell]

Green Book yeah!

[Still Servant]

Well, another Oscar ceremony is in the books.

For the first time in 3 years, we have a sole winner without having to go to the tiebreaker!

Servant - 18
Lurker - 15
Matt - 15
T-Dogz - 15
Mae - 14
Heather - 13
Ricky - 12
Garrell -12
Randall - 9
Stocker - 6

This is my first solo win, so I'm happy with that. I felt good going into this year. Well done, everyone. Thank you all for playing. More Oscar thoughts coming tomorrow, it's been a long day and it's late. As always, please check my math. I've made mistakes in the past.

Also, if there's someone named Paul here that submitted an online form, let me know. It could be someone from Facebook that my sister knows because she shared the form. I just want to make sure it's nobody from here.

[Mattrick]

My friend beat me with the point system I made. I had a 3 point lead, then he got two shorts and was down by 1. The only remaining prediction we differed on was Score, I picked Beale Street, he picked Black Panther.

I should've taken Colman for Actress. She was my pick, but people wouldn't shut up about Glenn Close winning and I feel victim to the hype :'(


Every best picture nominee won an oscar this year. I wonder how often that happens. Seems theres always one or two that go home empty handed. Might be the first time in the first decade of expansion.



Looking back a few years...


2018: Lady Bird won 0 Oscars.

2017: Lion, Hell or High Water, and Hidden Figures won 0 oscars.
2016: Brooklyn, The Martion won 0 oscars.

2015: Selma won 0 oscars
2014: Captain Phillips, American Hustle, Nebraska, and Philomena won 0 oscars.

[Mattrick]

Actually Selma won best song...so I guess that's out.