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Thread: The Official 2019 Oscar Discussion/Contest Thread

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    Default The Official 2019 Oscar Discussion/Contest Thread

    The summer festivals have concluded. The superheroes have put their capes away (except for Venom. Does he have a cape? You know what I mean). There's a chill in the air, at least where I live. That can only mean one thing. Oscar season is upon us.

    Naturally, I figured it was time for me to get this thread going. Eventually, this thread will also have information on this year's tournament. Rules, past results and eventually a list of nominees.

    In the meantime, we can talk about all things Oscar including films we've seen so far this year that deserve consideration and the many films that have yet to be released that are getting buzz. I'll start:

    There are a few films I've seen this year that I hope are remembered come Oscar night that feature some amazing performances.

    Films I've seen:

    My hope is that Toni Collette's terrifying performance in Hereditary is remembered just like Get Out was last year. I'm a huge fan of Charlize Theron as an exhausted mother in over her head in Tully. I was also really impressed by a pair of teens, Thomasin McKenzie as the conflicted daughter of a war veteran suffering from PTSD in Leave No Trace and Elsie Fisher, a painfully awkward teen in Eighth Grade.

    Spike Lee has had a string of average movies for more than a decade, but I'd love to see him get a directing nomination for The BlackkKlansmen, a timely, shockingly true story.

    I thought Joaquin Phoenix gave one of the best performances of the year in You Were Never Really Here, another film taking a look at the horrors of PTSD.

    I'm sure there's going to be a huge push for The Black Panther to get a Best Picture nomination, but I'm not buying it. I enjoyed the film, but it's being overhyped at this point. My hope is that The Quiet Place and Mission: Impossible - Fallout are both remembered come Oscar night. Both were highly successful films that were equally beloved by critics and audiences alike.

    Upcoming Films:

    I'm surely going to be leaving out a lot of films here, but it's early and there's a lot of research and discussion to be had before we can see the bigger picture. From what I hear, these are the films getting the most buzz.

    With Whiplash and La La Land, Damien Chazelle is off to a fine start. He reteams with Ryan Gosling for First Man, the Neil Armstrong biopic. Yes, this is the 4th time A Star is Born has been turned into a film, but the early reports are strong. Bradley Cooper makes his directorial debut and stars alongside a very stripped down Lady Gaga. Timothée Chalame burst on the scene last year with Call Me By Your Name, and has his eyes set on another acting nomination as a young man struggling with drug abuse in Beautiful Boy. Chalame stars alongside Steve Carell.

    Nicole Kidman, who is suddenly everywhere, stars with Russell Crowe in Boy Erased, about a young man forced to undergo gay conversion therapy by his religious parents. The boy in question is played by Lucas Hedges, who has done nothing but appear in Oscar nominated films (Manchester By the Sea, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri and Lady Bird). Steve McQueen directs an all-star cast in Widows. Joaquin Phoenix and John C. Reilly team up in the Western The Sisters Brothers. Alfonso Cuarón returns to his roots with the black-and-white drama Roma. It’s time for Jake Gyllenhaal. He should have won for his performance in Nightcrawler and yet wasn’t even nominated. In Wildlife, Gyllenhaal and Carey Mulligan play husband and wife in a failing marriage in Paul Dano’s directorial debut.

    Other notable films to keep an eye on:

    Hold the Dark
    The Front Runner
    Destroyer
    If Beale Street Could Talk
    Peterloo
    The Hate You Give
    The Old Man and the Gun

    Looking forward to another fun Oscar season!
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    I was literally thinking yesterday we need this thread

    For the record, here are all of our previous official Oscar season threads:
    1. 2008
    2. 2009
    3. 2010
    4. 2011
    5. 2012
    6. 2013
    7. 2014
    8. 2015
    9. 2016
    10. 2017
    11. 2018

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    Quote Originally Posted by mae View Post
    I was literally thinking yesterday we need this thread

    For the record, here are all of our previous official Oscar season threads:
    1. 2008
    2. 2009
    3. 2010
    4. 2011
    5. 2012
    6. 2013
    7. 2014
    8. 2015
    9. 2016
    10. 2017
    11. 2018
    I clearly have the shine because I woke up this morning and thought, "If I don't start the Oscar thread, Mae will start one first!" And look at you linking all the previous threads. That's awesome!

    What about the 2009 thread though?
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    Quote Originally Posted by Still Servant View Post
    And look at you linking all the previous threads. That's awesome!

    What about the 2009 thread though?
    Looks like we goofed. I couldn't find one.

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    Oh never mind, found it. Will update shortly!

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    Quote Originally Posted by mae View Post
    Oh never mind, found it. Will update shortly!
    I think we've been running the tournament since 2010 I believe.
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    Also, that is a very nice first post, agree with a lot of what you said. For my part, I'd just add I hope somehow Annihilation is remembered.

    Right now, early on, if there is a lock for Best Picture it's Roma (also Best Foreign Film). Seems to be the consensus pick according to all the reviews. That would be quite a coup for Netflix. The other obvious contenders seem to be First Man and A Star Is Born. I guess these would be the top three for BP right now.

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    Quote Originally Posted by mae View Post
    Also, that is a very nice first post, agree with a lot of what you said. For my part, I'd just add I hope somehow Annihilation is remembered.

    Right now, early on, if there is a lock for Best Picture it's Roma (also Best Foreign Film). Seems to be the consensus pick according to all the reviews. That would be quite a coup for Netflix. The other obvious contenders seem to be First Man and A Star Is Born. I guess these would be the top three for BP right now.
    Thanks!

    I can't believe I forgot about Annihilation! It's one of my favorite films of the year and if I'm forgetting about it then there's no hope for Oscar.
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  9. #9
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    Does anyone want to make any early predictions now? I'll do my usual speculation of which ten I think might be nominated for Best Picture. I'm usually 75%-ish right:
    1. A Star Is Born
    2. BlacKkKlansman
    3. Bohemian Rhapsody
    4. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
    5. Eighth Grade
    6. First Man
    7. Green Book
    8. If Beale Street Could Talk
    9. Roma
    10. The Favourite

    This year seems to be especially light on obvious choices other than the three I mentioned in my previous post. And it looks like Roma is the favorite (pun intended).

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by mae View Post
    Does anyone want to make any early predictions now? I'll do my usual speculation of which ten I think might be nominated for Best Picture. I'm usually 75%-ish right:
    1. A Star Is Born
    2. BlacKkKlansman
    3. Bohemian Rhapsody
    4. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
    5. Eighth Grade
    6. First Man
    7. Green Book
    8. If Beale Street Could Talk
    9. Roma
    10. The Favourite

    This year seems to be especially light on obvious choices other than the three I mentioned in my previous post. And it looks like Roma is the favorite (pun intended).
    I'll take a crack at it. It's so early so we are all going off of stuff we've heard. The Academy seems against nominating 10 films, so I will choose the typical 9.
    1. A Star Is Born
    2. BlacKkKlansman
    3. Black Panther
    4. Boy Erased
    5. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
    6. First Man
    7. Green Book
    8. If Beale Street Could Talk
    9. Roma
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    I really hope Bohemian Rhapsody gets in, but that's my longshot for the year. So far I have seen no reviews so just going off my perception, it looks like an incredible biopic and the Academy loves that. Plus I just love Queen and Freddie Mercury and Rami Malek seems to have put in a great performance.

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    Quote Originally Posted by mae View Post
    I really hope Bohemian Rhapsody gets in, but that's my longshot for the year. So far I have seen no reviews so just going off my perception, it looks like an incredible biopic and the Academy loves that. Plus I just love Queen and Freddie Mercury and Rami Malek seems to have put in a great performance.
    I'm excited for it too. Malek seems born to play that role. I love him on Mr. Robot.
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    This is for Heather

    https://www.cartoonbrew.com/shorts/2...ve-164563.html
    It’s that time of year again when the Oscar pundits enter the limelight and start making their predictions for the frontrunners in various Academy Award races.

    One category you won’t hear anyone “punditing” about though is the Best Animated Short Film category. That’s because we don’t have any pundits in the animation business, and even if we did, none of them would know what’s in contention. Cartoon Brew is committed to solving at least half of that problem.

    We’ve been compiling a list all year long of the films that have qualified for the Academy’s Animated Short Film category. Short films, as Brew readers already know, offer a unique space for innovation and experimentation as few other animation platforms do. It’s where you’ll find some of the art form’s most audacious and exciting annual achievements, and it’s our belief that if more Academy members understood the range and breadth of the contenders, they’d be able to make more informed decisions about the most award-worthy short film efforts of the year.

    There are three pathways to qualifying for the Academy Award Best Animated Short category:

    The film must have won a qualifying award at a competitive film festival. The list of film festivals and the specific awards at those festivals that can qualify a film can be found in this pdf.
    The picture must have been publicly exhibited for paid admission in a commercial motion picture theater in Los Angeles County for a run of at least seven consecutive days with at least one screening a day prior to public exhibition or distribution by any non-theatrical means. The picture also must appear in the theater listings along with the appropriate dates and screening time(s).
    The film must have won a Gold, Silver or Bronze Medal award in the Academy’s 2018 Student Academy Awards competition in the Animation, Narrative, Alternative or Foreign Film category.

    Here’s a few standard disclaimers: Even though all of the films in our list are technically qualified, it is still up to the filmmaker to take the extra step of entering the film into the Oscar competition. This year, we’ve also tried to identify films that have qualified through the public exhibition route, but that can be done very quietly (and often is) so there may be other films that have qualified without our knowledge. The entire official list of qualified films won’t be known until the Academy presents the eligible long-list of films to their membership in October.

    So, while the list isn’t perfect, it’s the only list of its kind that anyone publishes about the Animated Short category, and you’ll likely find most (if not all) of this year’s Oscar nominees below. Last year’s preliminary list of qualified films included nine of the ten films that were eventually shortlisted, and all five nominees in the category.

    The list was compiled through publicly available information. The films are presented below in alphabetical order:

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    Pretty interesting. I love the animated short films. I'm happy they've actually started releasing them in mainstream theaters so more people can see them prior to awards night.
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    I wish the oscar shorts were released in my theatre. I should write to Landmark and ask them to try and get them. My theatre has 24 damn screens. There's no reason they can't squeeze in a showing of the oscar shorts for even a week.
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    Yeah, there's an indie theater nearby that will play them for a week or two. And then the main cinemas usually have a couple of showings during their Oscar week.
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    The Hollywood Reporter has their early forecasts: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/li...2019-3-1148686

    Really happy to see some acknowledgement of the two leads in Disobedience. I sorta have to agree with their frontrunners for Best Animated Feature, though I'm holding my breath that Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse gets in over Ralph Breaks the Internet. The animation style in Spider-Man is just something else. Their projected shortlist for Best Foreign Film is also pretty close to what I'd come up with, and the Academy should be releasing the full list of submissions shortly. There are actually so many great-looking films submitted so far and I'd hope that potentially Beauty and the Dogs from Tunisia, The Cakemaker from Israel, or I Am Not a Witch from the UK could get a nomination in place of Germany's Never Look Away, which looks fine, but a bit by the numbers. Finally, Black Panther for Best Picture... I dunno, I still don't see it. They didn't go for Wonder Woman, and I personally felt that was a stronger film.

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    Quote Originally Posted by mae View Post
    The Hollywood Reporter has their early forecasts: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/li...2019-3-1148686

    Really happy to see some acknowledgement of the two leads in Disobedience. I sorta have to agree with their frontrunners for Best Animated Feature, though I'm holding my breath that Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse gets in over Ralph Breaks the Internet. The animation style in Spider-Man is just something else. Their projected shortlist for Best Foreign Film is also pretty close to what I'd come up with, and the Academy should be releasing the full list of submissions shortly. There are actually so many great-looking films submitted so far and I'd hope that potentially Beauty and the Dogs from Tunisia, The Cakemaker from Israel, or I Am Not a Witch from the UK could get a nomination in place of Germany's Never Look Away, which looks fine, but a bit by the numbers. Finally, Black Panther for Best Picture... I dunno, I still don't see it. They didn't go for Wonder Woman, and I personally felt that was a stronger film.
    What are your thoughts on Roma getting a Best Foreign Film and a Best Picture nomination? I've heard some people say that it won't get a Best Foreign Film nom, but that seems like a no brainer.
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    It is a no-brainer, and if you'll recall Amour was also nominated for both Best Picture (which went to Argo) and Best Foreign Film, which it won. I don't think there's been any precedent for a film winning both, but I could be mistaken. Still, Roma can certainly do it.

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    https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/ne...tegory-1150191
    Eighty-seven countries have submitted films for consideration for the Oscar in the foreign language film category for the 91st Academy Awards. That number is down slightly from the record 92 films that were submitted last year. For the first time, Malawi, which submitted Shemu Joyah's The Road to Sunrise, and Niger, which submitted Rahmatou Keita's The Wedding Ring, have entered films.

    The submissions include high-profile titles like Alfonso Cuaron's Roma, the Mexican entry which is also expected to be a best picture contender; Kore-eda Hirokazu's Shoplifters, the Japanese entry which won the Palme d'Or at this year's Cannes Film Festival; the Cannes Jury Prize winner, Nadine Labaki's Capernaum, from Lebanon; and Pawel Pawlikowski's Cold War, from Poland, which won the best director prize at Cannes.

    France opted to enter Emmanuel Finkiel's World War II drama Memoirs of War, while Spain submitted Javier Fesser's Champions, about a basketball team with intellectual disabilities; Italy offered Matteo Garron's revenge drama Dogman; Germany submitted the love story Never Look Away, directed by Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck, who had a previous Oscar winner with 2006's The Lives of Others; and Hungary entered the period drama Sunset, directed by Laszlo Nemes, whose 2015 Son of Saul was also an Oscar winner.

    Since submissions don't have to be in a country's dominant language, the U.K. has submitted Rungano Nyoni's I Am Not A Witch, which is set in Zambia, while Australia is represented by Benjamin Gilmour's Jirga, which is set in Afghanistan.

    Nominations will be announced Jan. 22, and the Oscars themselves will be broadcast live by ABC from the Dolby Theatre at Hollywood & Highland Center on Feb. 24.

    The 2018 submissions are below.
    • Afghanistan, “Rona Azim’s Mother,” Jamshid Mahmoudi, director;
    • Algeria, “Until the End of Time,” Yasmine Chouikh, director;
    • Argentina, “El Ángel,” Luis Ortega, director;
    • Armenia, “Spitak,” Alexander Kott, director;
    • Australia, “Jirga,” Benjamin Gilmour, director;
    • Austria, “The Waldheim Waltz,” Ruth Beckermann, director;
    • Bangladesh, “No Bed of Roses,” Mostofa Sarwar Farooki, director;
    • Belarus, “Crystal Swan,” Darya Zhuk, director;
    • Belgium, “Girl,” Lukas Dhont, director;
    • Bolivia, “The Goalkeeper,” Rodrigo “Gory” Patiño, director;
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina, “Never Leave Me,” Aida Begić, director;
    • Brazil, “The Great Mystical Circus,” Carlos Diegues, director;
    • Bulgaria, “Omnipresent,” Ilian Djevelekov, director;
    • Cambodia, “Graves without a Name,” Rithy Panh, director;
    • Canada, “Family Ties,” Sophie Dupuis, director;
    • Chile, “…And Suddenly the Dawn,” Silvio Caiozzi, director;
    • China, “Hidden Man,” Jiang Wen, director;
    • Colombia, “Birds of Passage,” Cristina Gallego, Ciro Guerra, directors;
    • Costa Rica, “Medea,” Alexandra Latishev, director;
    • Croatia, “The Eighth Commissioner,” Ivan Salaj, director;
    • Czech Republic, “Winter Flies,” Olmo Omerzu, director;
    • Denmark, “The Guilty,” Gustav Möller, director;
    • Dominican Republic, “Cocote,” Nelson Carlo De Los Santos Arias, director;
    • Ecuador, “A Son of Man,” Jamaicanoproblem, director;
    • Egypt, “Yomeddine,” A.B. Shawky, director;
    • Estonia, “Take It or Leave It,” Liina Trishkina-Vanhatalo, director;
    • Finland, “Euthanizer,” Teemu Nikki, director;
    • France, “Memoir of War,” Emmanuel Finkiel, director;
    • Georgia, “Namme,” Zaza Khalvashi, director;
    • Germany, “Never Look Away,” Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck, director;
    • Greece, “Polyxeni,” Dora Masklavanou, director;
    • Hong Kong, “Operation Red Sea,” Dante Lam, director;
    • Hungary, “Sunset,” László Nemes, director;
    • Iceland, “Woman at War,” Benedikt Erlingsson, director;
    • India, “Village Rockstars,” Rima Das, director;
    • Indonesia, “Marlina the Murderer in Four Acts,” Mouly Surya, director;
    • Iran, “No Date, No Signature,” Vahid Jalilvand, director;
    • Iraq, “The Journey,” Mohamed Jabarah Al-Daradji, director;
    • Israel, “The Cakemaker,” Ofir Raul Graizer, director;
    • Italy, “Dogman,” Matteo Garrone, director;
    • Japan, “Shoplifters,” Hirokazu Kore-eda, director;
    • Kazakhstan, “Ayka,” Sergey Dvortsevoy, director;
    • Kenya, “Supa Modo,” Likarion Wainaina, director;
    • Kosovo, “The Marriage,” Blerta Zeqiri, director;
    • Latvia, “To Be Continued,” Ivars Seleckis, director;
    • Lebanon, “Capernaum,” Nadine Labaki, director;
    • Lithuania, “Wonderful Losers: A Different World,” Arunas Matelis, director;
    • Luxembourg, “Gutland,” Govinda Van Maele, director;
    • Macedonia, “Secret Ingredient,” Gjorce Stavreski, director;
    • Malawi, “The Road to Sunrise,” Shemu Joyah, director;
    • Mexico, “Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón, director;
    • Montenegro, “Iskra,” Gojko Berkuljan, director;
    • Morocco, “Burnout,” Nour-Eddine Lakhmari, director;
    • Nepal, “Panchayat,” Shivam Adhikari, director;
    • Netherlands, “The Resistance Banker,” Joram Lürsen, director;
    • New Zealand, “Yellow Is Forbidden,” Pietra Brettkelly, director;
    • Niger, “The Wedding Ring,” Rahmatou Keïta, director;
    • Norway, “What Will People Say,” Iram Haq, director;
    • Pakistan, “Cake,” Asim Abbasi, director;
    • Palestine, “Ghost Hunting,” Raed Andoni, director;
    • Panama, “Ruben Blades Is Not My Name,” Abner Benaim, director;
    • Paraguay, “The Heiresses,” Marcelo Martinessi, director;
    • Peru, “Eternity,” Oscar Catacora, director;
    • Philippines, “Signal Rock,” Chito S. Roño, director;
    • Poland, “Cold War,” Pawel Pawlikowski, director;
    • Portugal, “Pilgrimage,” João Botelho, director;
    • Romania, “I Do Not Care If We Go Down in History as Barbarians,” Radu Jude, director;
    • Russia, “Sobibor,” Konstantin Khabensky, director;
    • Serbia, “Offenders,” Dejan Zecevic, director;
    • Singapore, “Buffalo Boys,” Mike Wiluan, director;
    • Slovakia, “The Interpreter,” Martin Šulík, director;
    • Slovenia, “Ivan,” Janez Burger, director;
    • South Africa, “Sew the Winter to My Skin,” Jahmil X.T. Qubeka, director;
    • South Korea, “Burning,” Lee Chang-dong, director;
    • Spain, “Champions,” Javier Fesser, director;
    • Sweden, “Border,” Ali Abbasi, director;
    • Switzerland, “Eldorado,” Markus Imhoof, director;
    • Taiwan, “The Great Buddha+,” Hsin-Yao Huang, director;
    • Thailand, “Malila The Farewell Flower,” Anucha Boonyawatana, director;
    • Tunisia, “Beauty and the Dogs,” Kaouther Ben Hania, director;
    • Turkey, “The Wild Pear Tree,” Nuri Bilge Ceylan, director;
    • Ukraine, “Donbass,” Sergei Loznitsa, director;
    • United Kingdom, “I Am Not a Witch,” Rungano Nyoni, director;
    • Uruguay, “Twelve-Year Night,” Álvaro Brechner, director;
    • Venezuela, “The Family,” Gustavo Rondón Córdova, director;
    • Vietnam, “The Tailor,” Buu Loc Tran, Kay Nguyen, directors;
    • Yemen, “10 Days before the Wedding,” Amr Gamal, director.

  23. #23
    Oz the Gweat and Tewwible mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae's Avatar

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    Like I said earlier, this is actually a pretty great year for foreign films. Out of the longlist above, my personal selections for the nine-title shortlist would be:
    • Belgium, Girl
    • Colombia, Birds of Passage
    • Denmark, The Guilty
    • Hungary, Sunset
    • Israel, The Cakemaker
    • Japan, Shoplifters
    • Mexico, Roma
    • Poland, Cold War
    • South Korea, Burning

    The five nominees are bolded, with Roma taking the Oscar. Likely wishful thinking with Burning over Shoplifters, as it's a Haruki Murakami adaptation and would be Korea's first Oscar nom, but I'll stick with it.

    With honorable mentions to:
    • Belarus, Crystal Swan
    • Lebanon, Capernaum
    • South Africa, Sew the Winter to My Skin
    • Tunisia, Beauty and the Dogs
    • United Kingdom, I Am Not a Witch

  24. #24
    Oz the Gweat and Tewwible mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae has a brilliant future mae's Avatar

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  25. #25
    Final Mission Still Servant is a splendid one to behold Still Servant is a splendid one to behold Still Servant is a splendid one to behold Still Servant is a splendid one to behold Still Servant is a splendid one to behold Still Servant is a splendid one to behold Still Servant is a splendid one to behold Still Servant's Avatar

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    Unlike most, I'm a fan of Melissa McCarthy, but the trailer for that one does nothing for me. I'm really surprised she's getting Oscar buzz.
    Check out my website: PopCulturedwithMovieMike

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